The accession of ten new members to the European Union on May 1st 2004 is
among the most significant developments in the history of European integration.
Based upon studies conducted by the European Forecasting Network, this book
analyses key aspects of the impact of this recent enlargement with reference to eight of
the ten new Member States, namely the Central and Eastern European countries (CEECs). It
demonstrates that the enlargement could have profound consequences on both the new Member
States and on the pre-accession members of the Union, given the unparalleled magnitude of
the enlargement, the fact that the CEECs have levels of prosperity and economic
development well below the Union average, and their history of participation in centrally
planned regimes. The contributions examine regional policy, the debate about accession to
the EMU, the macroeconomic trajectories of the Central and Eastern European economies to
date and their likely future development.
Table of Contents
Figures; Tables; Contributors; Acknowledgements; Introduction;
1. New member states: macroeconomic outlook and forecasts Emilio Rossi
and Zbyszko Tabernacki;
2. The asymmetric impact of enlargement of old and new Member States: a general
equilibrium approach Mohamed Hedi Bchir, Lionel Fontagnç?d Paolo Zanghieri;
3. Changes in the spatial distribution patterns of European regional activity: the
enlargements of the mid-eighties and 2004 Toni Mora, Esther Vayiż˝nd Jordi
Suriđ o ;
4. Forecasting macroeconomic variables for the new Member States Anindya
Banerjee, Massimiliano Marcellino and Igor Masten;
5. The cyclical experience of the new Member States Michael Artis,
Massimiliano Marcellino and Tommaso Proietti;
6. Demand and supply shocks in the new Member States Raiż˝mos and Jordi
Suriđ o ;
7. Monetary transmission in the new Member States Raiż˝mos and Jordi
Suriđ o ;
8. Promoting fiscal restraint in three Central European Member States
Emilio Rossi and Zbyszko Tabernacki;
9. Current accounts dynamics in new EU members Paolo Zanghieri;
10. Challenges to banking sector stability in selected new Member States Charles
Movit;
11. Infrastructure investments as a tool for regional development policy: lessons
from the Spanish evidence Rosina Moreno, Enrique LoŻnş-Bazo and Manuel Artis;
12. TFP, costs, and public infrastructure: an equivocal relationship
Eliana La Ferrara and Massimiliano Marcellino;
13. Regional policies after the EU enlargement Michele Boldrin.
424 pages, Paperback
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